Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 45.9%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.5% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.0%
Defensive zone
Wright 64.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Wright
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Wright
Gagner
Last 6: Wright 0-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
6
Wright
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
51.5% (928)
-51.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (122)
35.0% (226)
+7.6%
On power play, Gagner has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Wright is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Wright shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Wright
Gagner
Home
48.7% (156)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.7% (161)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Wright
Gagner
P1
49.5%
44.6%
P2
40.0%
46.1%
P3
51.0%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |