Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 64.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.8%
Result
James Wright favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Wright
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wright
Johnson
Last 5: Wright 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Wright
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
1
Wright
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Wright
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.6% (885)
-54.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (122)
42.3% (707)
+0.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Wright is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Wright shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Wright
Johnson
Home
48.7% (156)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
44.7% (161)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Wright
Johnson
P1
49.5%
50.1%
P2
40.0%
50.6%
P3
51.0%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | James Wright |