Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Benn 46.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 72.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 74.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Roy
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Benn
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Roy
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Roy
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Roy
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
46.4% (612)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
43.2% (95)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
57.6% (33)
-6.5%
On power play, Roy has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Roy
Benn
Home
52.4% (683)
48.5% (377)
Away
48.6% (646)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Roy
Benn
P1
48.3%
40.4%
P2
49.5%
52.1%
P3
53.9%
46.8%
OT
48.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |