Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Benn 46.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 73.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 58.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 54.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Nielsen
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Nielsen
Benn
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Nielsen
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
2
Nielsen
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
2
Nielsen
Benn
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
46.4% (612)
-0.8%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
43.2% (95)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
57.6% (33)
-18.0%
On power play, Nielsen has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Benn
Home
45.6% (581)
48.5% (377)
Away
44.9% (575)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Nielsen
Benn
P1
47.0%
40.4%
P2
44.0%
52.1%
P3
44.9%
46.8%
OT
42.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |