Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 53.0% vs Spezza 54.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 66.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Benn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Benn
Spezza
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
3
Benn
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
3
Benn
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,441)
54.4% (7,990)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.6% (2,049)
56.8% (1,726)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (514)
52.7% (643)
-3.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Benn is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,757).
Benn shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Benn
Spezza
Home
55.0% (4,536)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
51.0% (4,484)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Benn
Spezza
P1
51.9%
55.7%
P2
52.6%
54.4%
P3
54.1%
54.1%
OT
62.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
53.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |