Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.2% vs Beagle 55.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 90.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 55.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Benn
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Benn
Beagle
Last 6: Benn 1-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Benn
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Benn
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (233)
56.8% (799)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (130)
64.7% (17)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
54.6% (291)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Benn is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Benn shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Benn
Beagle
Home
52.4% (212)
57.6% (552)
Away
50.5% (200)
55.1% (555)
By Period
Benn
Beagle
P1
55.8%
56.9%
P2
45.0%
59.0%
P3
53.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |