Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Smithson 56.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.8%
Defensive zone
Smithson 88.1%
Neutral zone
Smithson 70.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Benn
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Smithson
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Smithson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Smithson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
2
Benn
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
58.4% (1,842)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
55.6% (45)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.6% (443)
-1.3%
On even strength, Smithson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Benn
Smithson
Home
54.9% (4,547)
58.4% (1,195)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
55.0% (1,150)
By Period
Benn
Smithson
P1
51.9%
55.9%
P2
52.6%
55.3%
P3
54.0%
59.0%
OT
62.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |