Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Abdelkader shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Abdelkader 52.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 71.4%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 75.0%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 76.6%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Benn
Abdelkader
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Abdelkader
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Abdelkader
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Abdelkader
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
4
3
Benn
Abdelkader
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Abdelkader
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
53.7% (393)
-7.3%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
71.4% (7)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
43.5% (46)
+14.1%
On power play, Abdelkader has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abdelkader shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Benn shoots left. Abdelkader is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Benn
Abdelkader
Home
48.5% (377)
56.4% (218)
Away
43.9% (374)
49.6% (234)
By Period
Benn
Abdelkader
P1
40.4%
55.6%
P2
52.1%
50.7%
P3
46.8%
51.9%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |