Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Abdelkader shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Abdelkader 51.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 84.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 64.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 73.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Benn
Abdelkader
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Benn
Abdelkader
Last 6: Benn 1-5 Abdelkader
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
0
2
Benn
Abdelkader
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
1
2
Benn
Abdelkader
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
0
1
Benn
Abdelkader
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Abdelkader
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
53.5% (86)
-5.7%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
41.7% (12)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
51.9% (27)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abdelkader shoots left. Benn is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Benn shoots left. Abdelkader is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Benn
Abdelkader
Home
51.4% (317)
55.9% (59)
Away
41.8% (392)
48.5% (66)
By Period
Benn
Abdelkader
P1
42.7%
54.2%
P2
45.4%
51.4%
P3
50.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |