Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 53.0% vs Richards 50.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 56.2%
Defensive zone
Richards 71.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 54.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Benn
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Benn
Richards
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
5
Benn
Richards
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
8
Benn
Richards
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
7
4
Benn
Richards
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,441)
50.0% (3,722)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.6% (2,049)
54.6% (445)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (514)
51.4% (502)
-2.0%
On even strength, Benn has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,263).
Benn shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Benn
Richards
Home
55.0% (4,536)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
51.0% (4,484)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Benn
Richards
P1
51.9%
49.6%
P2
52.6%
52.3%
P3
54.1%
49.3%
OT
62.4%
58.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
53.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |