Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Koivu 48.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 83.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 79.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Benn
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Koivu
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Benn
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (366)
46.0% (63)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
42.9% (7)
+11.3%
On even strength, Benn has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Benn is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Benn shoots left. Koivu is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Benn
Koivu
Home
55.9% (254)
46.6% (58)
Away
56.3% (224)
41.7% (12)
By Period
Benn
Koivu
P1
56.6%
70.0%
P2
55.6%
27.6%
P3
54.1%
47.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |