Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.9%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 53.0% vs Thompson 52.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 76.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 85.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
8
(27 meetings)
19
8
Benn
Thompson
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
6
1
Benn
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
6
5
Benn
Thompson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
7
2
Benn
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,441)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.6% (2,049)
54.8% (135)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (514)
47.9% (1,381)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,263).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
55.0% (4,536)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
51.0% (4,484)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
51.9%
53.2%
P2
52.6%
52.9%
P3
54.1%
52.8%
OT
62.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
53.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |