Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.5% vs Thompson 50.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 84.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Benn
Thompson
Last 7: Benn 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (505)
52.2% (785)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.1% (245)
42.9% (14)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
45.7% (175)
+7.9%
On power play, Benn has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
55.5% (398)
54.1% (475)
Away
50.0% (380)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
49.5%
P3
52.1%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |