Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.5% vs Thompson 52.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 51.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 68.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Benn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Benn
Thompson
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (362)
54.4% (870)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.8% (178)
45.8% (24)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
45.1% (162)
+2.1%
On power play, Benn has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Benn is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Benn shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Benn
Thompson
Home
56.9% (304)
55.3% (510)
Away
46.0% (272)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Benn
Thompson
P1
50.8%
53.5%
P2
49.0%
52.2%
P3
54.6%
52.7%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |