Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Backstrom 48.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 54.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 77.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Benn
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Benn
Backstrom
Last 10: Benn 8-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
47.9% (1,097)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
55.7% (149)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
45.0% (111)
-5.0%
On power play, Backstrom has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Benn shoots left. Backstrom is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Benn
Backstrom
Home
50.0% (232)
51.1% (638)
Away
44.7% (246)
46.3% (719)
By Period
Benn
Backstrom
P1
43.9%
44.8%
P2
45.6%
51.1%
P3
51.6%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |