Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.5%). Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Jokinen 46.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 50.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 50.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Benn
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Benn
Jokinen
Last 8: Benn 6-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
5
2
Benn
Jokinen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
46.8% (1,017)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
47.6% (185)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
40.7% (113)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Benn shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Benn
Jokinen
Home
48.5% (377)
47.1% (652)
Away
43.9% (374)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Benn
Jokinen
P1
40.4%
43.8%
P2
52.1%
49.5%
P3
46.8%
44.6%
OT
36.4%
68.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |