Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Benn wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.5% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 91.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 80.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Benn
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Benn
Jokinen
Last 8: Benn 6-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
5
1
Benn
Jokinen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (505)
45.3% (1,142)
+7.4%
Power Play
53.1% (245)
53.4% (131)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
43.9% (57)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Benn shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Benn
Jokinen
Home
55.5% (398)
48.8% (692)
Away
50.0% (380)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Benn
Jokinen
P1
50.2%
44.9%
P2
56.3%
45.7%
P3
52.1%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |