Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Berglund 48.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 80.1%
Defensive zone
Berglund 51.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Benn
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
20
(47 meetings)
27
20
Benn
Berglund
Last 10: Benn 8-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
15
3
Benn
Berglund
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
4
9
Benn
Berglund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Benn
Berglund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
49.0% (4,697)
+4.5%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
51.3% (548)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
43.2% (461)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Benn
Berglund
Home
54.9% (4,547)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Benn
Berglund
P1
51.9%
49.3%
P2
52.6%
48.2%
P3
54.0%
49.0%
OT
62.4%
39.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |