Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.2% vs Berglund 50.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 61.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 61.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Benn
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Benn
Berglund
Last 9: Benn 7-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
5
0
Benn
Berglund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (233)
50.5% (982)
+2.3%
Power Play
53.8% (130)
55.7% (79)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
40.7% (108)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Benn is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Benn shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Benn
Berglund
Home
52.4% (212)
50.7% (548)
Away
50.5% (200)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Benn
Berglund
P1
55.8%
49.6%
P2
45.0%
50.5%
P3
53.4%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |