Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Carter 49.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 76.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Benn
Carter
Last 8: Benn 4-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
4
Benn
Carter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
50.1% (978)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
60.0% (15)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
46.4% (138)
+2.9%
On power play, Carter has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
54.9% (4,547)
49.0% (506)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
51.9%
50.5%
P2
52.6%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
50.0%
OT
62.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |