Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Hartman 45.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Benn
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Benn
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Benn
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
44.8% (830)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
47.8% (92)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Benn is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Benn shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Benn
Hartman
Home
47.4% (38)
45.0% (515)
Away
47.6% (42)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Benn
Hartman
P1
32.0%
46.5%
P2
67.9%
39.9%
P3
40.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |