Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 55-42 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 52.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 68.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Benn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
55
(97 meetings)
42
55
Benn
Kesler
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
22
10
Benn
Kesler
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
30
Benn
Kesler
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
15
Benn
Kesler
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
56.4% (8,095)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.5% (1,908)
-1.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Benn
Kesler
Home
54.9% (4,547)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Benn
Kesler
P1
51.9%
56.5%
P2
52.6%
55.9%
P3
54.0%
56.1%
OT
62.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |