Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Kesler 53.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 68.9%
Defensive zone
Benn 70.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 70.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Benn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Benn
Kesler
Last 8: Benn 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Benn
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Benn
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
53.8% (981)
-7.4%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
56.9% (160)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
49.2% (185)
+8.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Benn is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Benn shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Benn
Kesler
Home
48.5% (377)
54.1% (690)
Away
43.9% (374)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Benn
Kesler
P1
40.4%
52.3%
P2
52.1%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
56.3%
OT
36.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |