Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Benn wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Kesler 55.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 79.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 69.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Benn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Benn
Kesler
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
2
Benn
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
6
Benn
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Benn
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
57.6% (231)
-9.8%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
65.5% (29)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
51.2% (43)
-11.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Benn is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Benn shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Benn
Kesler
Home
51.4% (317)
58.8% (114)
Away
41.8% (392)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Benn
Kesler
P1
42.7%
60.8%
P2
45.4%
60.0%
P3
50.4%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |