Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.2% vs Kesler 55.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 90.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 55.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 73.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Benn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Benn
Kesler
Last 8: Benn 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Benn
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
55.7% (741)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.5% (97)
67.0% (100)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
50.0% (204)
-12.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Benn is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Benn
Kesler
Home
48.5% (227)
52.5% (522)
Away
49.7% (191)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Benn
Kesler
P1
51.4%
56.7%
P2
40.4%
56.8%
P3
55.5%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |