Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 65.8%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 74.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 54.8%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Benn
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Benn
Horcoff
Last 8: Benn 2-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Benn
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
4
Benn
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
50.6% (3,133)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
51.4% (555)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
43.0% (567)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Benn
Horcoff
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Benn
Horcoff
P1
51.9%
48.2%
P2
52.6%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
62.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |