Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Bozak 55.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 72.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 84.5%
Neutral zone
Bozak 78.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Benn
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Benn
Bozak
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
6
1
Benn
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Benn
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
56.4% (837)
-7.3%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
60.8% (186)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
33.3% (36)
+6.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Benn is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Benn shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Benn
Bozak
Home
50.0% (232)
58.7% (516)
Away
44.7% (246)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Benn
Bozak
P1
43.9%
55.7%
P2
45.6%
53.4%
P3
51.6%
59.7%
OT
100.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
43.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |