Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenik on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenik wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenik 47.8% vs Marleau 50.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 67.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 74.3%
Neutral zone
Marleau 69.0%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Jenik
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenik
Marleau
Last 7: Jenik 5-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenik
2
0
Jenik
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Jenik
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenik
3
1
Jenik
Marleau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenik
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (80)
50.3% (2,656)
-5.3%
On even strength, Marleau has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Jenik is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Jenik shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Jenik
Marleau
Home
18.2% (11)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
49.3% (69)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Jenik
Marleau
P1
42.9%
52.2%
P2
42.4%
49.5%
P3
52.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenik
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jan Jenik |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Jan Jenik |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jan Jenik |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jan Jenik |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jan Jenik |