Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 38.5% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 43.7% vs McCann 46.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 69.6%
Defensive zone
Malgin 57.9%
Neutral zone
Malgin 58.2%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Malgin
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malgin
McCann
Last 7: Malgin 2-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Malgin
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
3
Malgin
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malgin
2
1
Malgin
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (151)
46.5% (477)
-7.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
46.3% (41)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.2% (52)
-6.2%
On power play, Malgin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Malgin is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Malgin shoots right. McCann is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Malgin
McCann
Home
41.1% (90)
46.3% (296)
Away
38.4% (73)
46.5% (275)
By Period
Malgin
McCann
P1
42.6%
49.4%
P2
32.0%
44.5%
P3
42.1%
46.0%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.9%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jared McCann |