Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Stoll 55.0% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 63.3%
Defensive zone
Stoll 90.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 85.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
McCann
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCann
Stoll
Last 8: McCann 5-3 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
4
2
McCann
Stoll
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
56.0% (4,886)
-12.9%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
56.5% (496)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
50.7% (1,087)
-8.5%
On power play, Stoll has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
McCann
Stoll
Home
43.1% (1,758)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
McCann
Stoll
P1
44.4%
54.2%
P2
41.7%
55.8%
P3
42.7%
55.3%
OT
36.4%
52.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Jared McCann |