Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 44.4% vs Beagle 55.8% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 90.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 50.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 74.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McCann
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCann
Beagle
Last 5: McCann 1-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
4
McCann
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
56.8% (799)
-18.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.7% (17)
+2.0%
On even strength, Beagle has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. McCann is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
McCann shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
McCann
Beagle
Home
36.1% (61)
57.6% (552)
Away
43.2% (44)
55.1% (555)
By Period
McCann
Beagle
P1
44.7%
56.9%
P2
41.2%
59.0%
P3
30.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
39.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |