Jared McCann vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 85.2%
Defensive zone
McCann 73.9%
Neutral zone
McCann 87.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
McCann
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
McCann
Pageau
Last 10: McCann 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
9
5
McCann
Pageau
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
12
McCann
Pageau
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
7
McCann
Pageau
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
55.7% (9,486)
-12.6%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
57.0% (1,002)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
49.6% (2,069)
-7.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
McCann
Pageau
Home
43.1% (1,758)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
McCann
Pageau
P1
44.4%
54.6%
P2
41.7%
56.3%
P3
42.7%
53.5%
OT
36.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
41.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | OT | 03:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | OT | 03:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |