Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 40.3% vs Eller 49.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 82.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 78.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
McCann
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCann
Eller
Last 8: McCann 5-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
McCann
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
4
1
McCann
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (522)
50.1% (749)
-11.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
46.1% (76)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
46.6% (131)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McCann is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (346).
McCann shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
McCann
Eller
Home
39.3% (285)
51.4% (465)
Away
37.7% (265)
47.3% (491)
By Period
McCann
Eller
P1
42.0%
47.9%
P2
34.0%
51.6%
P3
40.9%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
38.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |