Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 42.8%). Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Koivula 45.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 50.2%
Defensive zone
Koivula 64.3%
Neutral zone
Koivula 55.3%
Result
Otto Koivula favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
McCann
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McCann
Koivula
Last 7: McCann 4-3 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
Koivula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
0
2
McCann
Koivula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Koivula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
42.3% (123)
+0.8%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
28.6% (7)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
62.5% (8)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Koivula has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Koivula is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
McCann
Koivula
Home
43.1% (1,758)
42.6% (101)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
43.2% (37)
By Period
McCann
Koivula
P1
44.4%
34.8%
P2
41.7%
61.7%
P3
42.7%
31.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jared McCann |