Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Koivula 44.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 61.0%
Defensive zone
McCann 53.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 59.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
McCann
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McCann
Koivula
Last 7: McCann 4-3 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
Koivula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
0
2
McCann
Koivula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Koivula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
36.4% (55)
+10.1%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
0.0% (3)
+46.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
57.1% (7)
-10.9%
On power play, McCann has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
McCann shoots left. Koivula is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
McCann
Koivula
Home
46.3% (296)
35.9% (39)
Away
46.5% (275)
38.5% (26)
By Period
McCann
Koivula
P1
49.4%
36.0%
P2
44.5%
50.0%
P3
46.0%
29.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
36.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jared McCann |