Jaret Anderson-Dolan vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Anderson-Dolan wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anderson-Dolan 46.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anderson-Dolan 57.3%
Defensive zone
Anderson-Dolan 56.2%
Neutral zone
Anderson-Dolan 56.9%
Result
Jaret Anderson-Dolan favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Last 5: Anderson-Dolan 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anderson-Dolan
1
0
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Anderson-Dolan
1
0
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
56.2% (15,103)
-9.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.7% (3,395)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
51.6% (2,769)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Anderson-Dolan is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Anderson-Dolan shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
Home / Away
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Home
48.2% (245)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
41.3% (184)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
P1
43.5%
55.5%
P2
47.8%
57.0%
P3
44.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
42.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anderson-Dolan
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.2%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jaret Anderson-Dolan |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jaret Anderson-Dolan |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |