Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Iginla wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 49.9% vs Stoll 55.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 63.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 90.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 78.2%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Iginla
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Iginla
Stoll
Last 6: Iginla 4-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
0
Iginla
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Iginla
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (183)
58.4% (539)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
55.6% (63)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.2% (144)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Iginla is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Iginla shoots right. Stoll is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Iginla
Stoll
Home
51.9% (133)
57.3% (358)
Away
47.4% (114)
54.9% (388)
By Period
Iginla
Stoll
P1
48.2%
47.8%
P2
49.3%
59.5%
P3
51.7%
58.1%
OT
50.0%
85.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2013 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |