Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 85.8%
Defensive zone
Iginla 58.1%
Neutral zone
Iginla 71.9%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Iginla
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Iginla
Carter
Last 8: Iginla 2-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Iginla
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Iginla
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
46.3% (1,087)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Iginla is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Iginla shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Iginla
Carter
Home
54.6% (694)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
46.1% (709)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Iginla
Carter
P1
52.9%
53.6%
P2
47.6%
52.8%
P3
51.7%
53.1%
OT
34.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2010 | OT | 03:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |