Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.8%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Iginla wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Carter 50.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 65.7%
Defensive zone
Iginla 60.6%
Neutral zone
Iginla 61.8%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Iginla
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Iginla
Carter
Last 6: Iginla 1-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Iginla
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Iginla
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
51.0% (565)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
50.0% (188)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
50.0% (12)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Iginla is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Iginla shoots right. Carter is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Iginla
Carter
Home
53.0% (217)
52.3% (421)
Away
47.4% (209)
49.0% (353)
By Period
Iginla
Carter
P1
53.1%
55.4%
P2
48.6%
49.1%
P3
50.0%
47.6%
OT
38.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |