Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.4%). Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Thornton 54.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Iginla 54.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 66.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 61.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Iginla
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Iginla
Thornton
Last 10: Iginla 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
5
0
Iginla
Thornton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Iginla
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
52.8% (922)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
56.1% (196)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
62.0% (100)
-34.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Iginla shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Iginla
Thornton
Home
61.1% (203)
54.9% (597)
Away
47.5% (217)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Iginla
Thornton
P1
57.6%
53.0%
P2
50.4%
51.2%
P3
56.2%
57.8%
OT
31.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |