Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Toews 56.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 74.1%
Defensive zone
Iginla 66.0%
Neutral zone
Iginla 71.0%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Iginla
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Iginla
Toews
Last 9: Iginla 2-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Iginla
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Iginla
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Iginla
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
55.6% (1,125)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
59.3% (312)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
57.4% (204)
-30.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Iginla shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Iginla
Toews
Home
61.1% (203)
59.8% (858)
Away
47.5% (217)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Iginla
Toews
P1
57.6%
58.7%
P2
50.4%
55.1%
P3
56.2%
56.5%
OT
31.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |