Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs Goc 52.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 81.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 75.7%
Neutral zone
Iginla 51.6%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Iginla
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Iginla
Goc
Last 7: Iginla 3-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Iginla
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
2
Iginla
Goc
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
53.0% (3,301)
-1.9%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
58.0% (314)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
47.4% (728)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Iginla shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Iginla
Goc
Home
54.6% (694)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
46.1% (709)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Iginla
Goc
P1
52.9%
51.9%
P2
47.6%
53.1%
P3
51.7%
52.4%
OT
34.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |