Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.5%). Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Richards 50.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 52.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 82.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 67.4%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Iginla
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Iginla
Richards
Last 10: Iginla 8-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
5
1
Iginla
Richards
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
0
Iginla
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
50.0% (776)
+1.5%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
50.0% (130)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
54.5% (145)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Iginla is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Iginla shoots right. Richards is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Iginla
Richards
Home
53.0% (217)
47.2% (549)
Away
47.4% (209)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Iginla
Richards
P1
53.1%
52.5%
P2
48.6%
50.9%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
OT
38.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |