Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Iginla wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 46.9% vs Koivu 54.9% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 79.1%
Defensive zone
Iginla 52.6%
Neutral zone
Iginla 67.2%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Iginla
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Iginla
Koivu
Last 6: Iginla 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
1
0
Iginla
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
5
Iginla
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (102)
55.3% (1,268)
-10.2%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
57.6% (321)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
51.0% (202)
-51.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Iginla is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Iginla shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Iginla
Koivu
Home
41.3% (46)
58.3% (906)
Away
46.3% (82)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Iginla
Koivu
P1
41.2%
53.0%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
44.9%
56.6%
OT
20.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |