Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 85.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 76.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Iginla
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Iginla
Stastny
Last 10: Iginla 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
12
4
Iginla
Stastny
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
7
Iginla
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Iginla
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.5%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
52.9% (1,119)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Iginla shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Iginla
Stastny
Home
54.6% (694)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
46.1% (709)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Iginla
Stastny
P1
52.9%
56.3%
P2
47.6%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
53.5%
OT
34.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |