Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Stastny 53.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 77.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.6%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Iginla
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Iginla
Stastny
Last 9: Iginla 8-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
7
0
Iginla
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
52.2% (1,107)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
61.0% (254)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
46.4% (138)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Iginla shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Iginla
Stastny
Home
61.1% (203)
52.5% (785)
Away
47.5% (217)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Iginla
Stastny
P1
57.6%
51.3%
P2
50.4%
55.2%
P3
56.2%
52.6%
OT
31.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |