Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Iginla 72.0%
Defensive zone
Iginla 66.8%
Neutral zone
Iginla 67.6%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Iginla
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Iginla
Stastny
Last 10: Iginla 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Iginla
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Iginla
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
55.0% (1,136)
-3.5%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
57.5% (200)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
53.1% (64)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Iginla is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Iginla shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Iginla
Stastny
Home
53.0% (217)
58.5% (744)
Away
47.4% (209)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Iginla
Stastny
P1
53.1%
57.9%
P2
48.6%
54.9%
P3
50.0%
53.0%
OT
38.5%
72.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |