Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 95.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 92.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 88.3%
11.7%
88.3%
Iginla
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Iginla
Kesler
Last 10: Iginla 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
0
Iginla
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
6
4
Iginla
Kesler
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.3%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
60.7% (1,437)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
50.5% (1,908)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Iginla is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Iginla shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Iginla
Kesler
Home
54.6% (694)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.1% (709)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Iginla
Kesler
P1
52.9%
56.5%
P2
47.6%
55.9%
P3
51.7%
56.1%
OT
34.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | OT | 03:37 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |