Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 93.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 87.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Iginla
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Iginla
O'Reilly
Last 10: Iginla 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
12
1
Iginla
O'Reilly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
8
Iginla
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.1%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
58.8% (3,445)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
51.4% (2,811)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Iginla shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Iginla
O'Reilly
Home
54.6% (694)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.1% (709)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Iginla
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
55.6%
P2
47.6%
57.0%
P3
51.7%
55.1%
OT
34.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |