Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Koivu 52.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 79.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 84.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Iginla
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Iginla
Koivu
Last 7: Iginla 1-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Iginla
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Iginla
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
52.7% (873)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
63.1% (168)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
47.9% (267)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Iginla shoots right. Koivu is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Iginla
Koivu
Home
61.1% (203)
56.7% (601)
Away
47.5% (217)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Iginla
Koivu
P1
57.6%
51.2%
P2
50.4%
55.2%
P3
56.2%
51.3%
OT
31.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |